The economy matters, but the likes of Trump succeed by offering voters revenge for problems both real and imagined

Donald Trump, for the first time, won a majority of the popular vote. He took the US presidency with huge swings in his favour, increasing his share of first-time voters, young voters, black voters and Latino voters. And he gained among voters earning under $100,000 , while wealthier voters preferred Harris – a reversal of the class alignments in 2020. Current voting tallies suggest the swing to the Republicans was largely caused by mass abstention among Democrat voters. This result echoes global trends. Trump and his new coalition will now head a loose alliance of far-right governments from India to Hungary, Italy, the Philippines, Argentina, the Netherlands and Israel.

The rhythm of far-right successes began with Viktor Orbán’s landslide in Hungary’s 2010 parliamentary election. Since Narendra Modi’s victory in the 2014 Indian general election, it has scarcely paused: Trump’s first ascent to the White House, the Brexit vote and Rodrigo Duterte’s success in the Philippines all took place in 2016. Two years later, Jair Bolsonaro scored an upset in Brazil. Since the pandemic, the Brothers of Italy won the Italian general election in 2022 and Javier Milei took the Argentinian presidency in 2023. For most of this period, Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud has ruled Israel in coalition with far-right parties. Even where it is not in power, the far right is gaining, as in France and Germany. In the long view, the defeat of Trump in 2020 and Bolsonaro in 2022 were predictable oscillations in a general pattern of ascent.

Richard Seymour is an author and founding editor of Salvage. His latest book is Disaster Nationalism: The Downfall of Liberal Civilization

Company to shed about 6% of its workforce of 9,000 as it loses car insurance customers

• Business live – latest updates

Direct Line is to axe about 550 jobs as part of a cost-cutting drive at the insurance company.

The Kent-based company said that it was consulting on the jobs, which would represent about 6% of its total 9,000-person workforce, as part of drive to save £50m next year.

• ATP finals updates from 1pm GMT start in Turin
• Have any thoughts? Send Yara an email

Hello and welcome to our live blog of the ATP Finals group stage match between Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud. The two are the first to face off in the John Newcombe Group at the Inalpi Arena.

Alcaraz has had a fantastic year, winning two grand slams and winning silver at the Olympics. The world No 3 has a chance to move up a spot in the year-end rankings should he do well here in Turin.

Arsenal deliver at last, Lauren Hemp’s treble sees her top the WSL assist chart and Chelsea have ‘two No 1s’

Five goals, five different goalscorers and a clean sheet – Arsenal’s performance against Brighton felt like it was a long time coming. So often this season they have created chances but not been clinical. On Friday night, however, they were in the mood, producing a high-intensity first half that left Brighton shell-shocked. Beth Mead and Emily Fox combined brilliantly down the right, Katie McCabe and Caitlin Foord equally so down the left to exploit the weakness of the visitors’ full-backs and fallible defensive structure. A trademark Mead goal reminded fans of more fruitful times, a spectacular finish from Frida Maanum the same. The special moment of the night, however, belonged to Lina Hurtig. Her 76th-minute header was her first goal in 362 days, a perfect return after the Sweden winger had spent the best part of the last year on the sidelines. SD

Socialist club were defeated again but there were reasons to be hopeful on and off the pitch at the Millerntor

It was, in many ways, one of those games we see far too many of today. A significant gap between two sides in the same division all too apparent, with the lesser just keeping their powder dry and holding on, aiming to give themselves a puncher’s chance in the final stages. Bayern Munich emerged victorious thanks to an out-of-this-world rocket from range by Jamal Musiala, a moment of quality seemingly designed to underline the gulf.

St Pauli were the home side yet feeding off scraps. They had three shots during the match, none of them on target. They are still scoreless at home after five matches, now an unenviable Bundesliga record. Have a group of people ever wanted to hear Song 2 by Blur, which greeted goal after goal in last season’s dizzy title-winning campaign, so badly? Alexander Blessin’s team could not have given any more – they collectively ran almost six kilometres more than Bayern – but it wasn’t enough. In one sense St Pauli had suffered a 1-0 thrashing. In another it was a day of frustration.

• Ploutarchos Pourliakas finishes iconic Greek race
• ‘I’ve never smoked. I don’t indulge in excesses’

At 88, Greek runner Ploutarchos Pourliakas has proved again that age can just be a number and poses no barrier to determination after he completed the 41st edition of the Athens Marathon on Sunday.

The race, also called The Authentic, is organised annually on what is believed to be the same ground that the Athenian messenger Phiedippides ran to bring the news of victory from the battlefield of Marathon 2,500 years ago. Recognised as the original marathon course, the same route was used in the 2004 Olympics held in Athens.

French president offers ‘fraternity and solidarity’ as Israel discourages wearing of ‘recognisable Jewish symbols’ abroad

Emmanuel Macron will attend the France-Israel football match at the Stade de France on Thursday in a gesture of “fraternity and solidarity” after attacks on Jewish fans in Amsterdam last week.

Thousands of extra police will be on duty for the game taking place against a backdrop of high tension caused by the conflict in Gaza.

Before the floods, I was always with my boys. Always. This is Tera’s story

Location Martock, Canada

Disaster Nova Scotia floods, 2023

Tera works with people who have physical and mental disabilities and lives in the same rural municipality she grew up in: West Hants . When flash floods inundated Nova Scotia , she was working at a group home and raising her two boys, aged six and 11. Those floods would result in the death of her youngest son.

North-east team Yarm & Eaglescliffe grab four in five minutes to seal 6-5 win in Northern League Division Two

Step aside Barcelona , forget all the talk about Charlton , Roma and the miracle of Istanbul . Gas engineer Tom Atkinson and Yarm & Eaglescliffe FC could well now be the go-to for football comebacks after a remarkable non-league game in the north-east of England at the weekend.

Sunderland West End were coasting at 5-2 up in the 92nd minute of their Northern League Division Two game and Yarm’s supporters could have been forgiven for having made their excuses and left. But an incredible four-goal burst then sealed the most unlikely of victories for the visitors.